Are Statis Pro Baseball's Base Stealing Charts Broken?
Are Statis Pro Base Stealing Charts Accurate? Over the years, I have heard many people inquire about the accuracy of the original SP base stealing charts. My personal opinion is that for the most part they are a good representation of the game. They are however, somewhat bare bones, which leads to fast game play, but miserably fails when it comes to taking into account the defensive players roll in the stolen base attempt. So let’s look at how the charts impact a fast or smart base stealer (SP: A) versus the slower or less savvy base stealer (SP: D or E). I think you may be surprised at the results. SP: A (Versus Catcher TA) Safe: 48% of the time. Thrown Out: 20% of the time. Advances on Error: 9% of the time. Cannot Get Jump: 20% of the time. So if you give an SP: A runner the signal to steal 2nd, he will attempt the steal approximately 80% of the time. If he does attempt to steal, there are only three outcomes. He is safe (48%), he is thrown out (20%), or he advances on an erro...